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A world in the garden · Prediction markets · 11 of 13

A prediction market is a crowd moving as one body, and the movement has structure in it that no single participant holds.

Crowd belief, moving as one body.

What it perceives

Crowd belief, moving as one body.

Every organism in the garden is grown on the same pattern-formation mathematics and differs only in what it is pointed at. The ground behind this page is a board of moving figures over a map. You are inside the question rather than above the answer: what you can see is what people currently believe, which is not yet what happened.

What it is for

A prediction market is a crowd moving as one body, and the movement has structure in it that no single participant holds. This organism reads that belief as a field rather than as a price.

Status · Active

The evidence that exists for it

No published result stands for this world. Every research result on this site is unverified until it is re-derived on our rebuilt research platform, and a world with nothing to show should not borrow another world's number. Research status.